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Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:02 am
by yourhero
The only way to measure fragility is the output of games, regardless of reason. Averaging 17.25 games per year.
2019 - 22
2020 - 20
2021 - 15
2022 - 12

Rightfully, there are concerns.

Welchy is unfortunately in the same boat. Actually worse. Averaging 15 games per year.
2015 - 10
2016 - 17
2017 - 8
2018 - 26
2019 - 16
2020 - 19
2021 - 21
2022 - 1

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:29 am
by nacho
anyone think it was ironic we wore our 2012 jersey?

2012, round 18 we played Canberra at AAMI and lost.

We went on to lose a further 3 games until we snapped the losing streak in Round 22 against who else but Penrith... and who do we play this year in Round 22... the mother truckin Penny Panthers!

Watch this space is all im sayin'

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:33 am
by blazza18
Bad thing for Paps with his size is he's always in and around bodies. This new knee one is just unfortunate but earlier in the game where he kicked the ball out to save a try scoring opportunity he was a millisecond away from breaking his leg. Not really sure what the club can do with him outside of hoping he gets better injury luck or we find a superior fullback.

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 10:38 am
by riders of the storm
blazza18 wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:33 am Bad thing for Paps with his size is he's always in and around bodies. This new knee one is just unfortunate but earlier in the game where he kicked the ball out to save a try scoring opportunity he was a millisecond away from breaking his leg. Not really sure what the club can do with him outside of hoping he gets better injury luck or we find a superior fullback.
The club is pretty heavily invested in him.

My real concern is what do these injuries do for his confidence?

We’ve seen it before - when he came back last year from the concussion he seemed really reserved. His game is all about his speed at hitting the line and as a fullback (particularly at the Storm) his role will always involve having to get across at the back and clean up any threats in the way Billy Slater did.

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 10:51 am
by Lennart Bedrager
Paps may have to change his style of play, fitness and conditioning, and even things like the length of his studs.
James tedesco was considered injury prone early in his career, and had to make changes to prolong it. Paps may be in the same boat unfortunately.

He has had terrible luck though.

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 12:04 pm
by Bullucked
Paps is brave beyond his years, almost reckless towards himself. His brilliance is that he puts his body on the line, every time. All other fullbacks are way more reserved

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 12:23 pm
by blazza18
riders of the storm wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 10:38 am
blazza18 wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:33 am Bad thing for Paps with his size is he's always in and around bodies. This new knee one is just unfortunate but earlier in the game where he kicked the ball out to save a try scoring opportunity he was a millisecond away from breaking his leg. Not really sure what the club can do with him outside of hoping he gets better injury luck or we find a superior fullback.
The club is pretty heavily invested in him.

My real concern is what do these injuries do for his confidence?

We’ve seen it before - when he came back last year from the concussion he seemed really reserved. His game is all about his speed at hitting the line and as a fullback (particularly at the Storm) his role will always involve having to get across at the back and clean up any threats in the way Billy Slater did.
The rushed pass that led to the Raiders first try was probably down to this exact thing. He's an excitement machine to watch so I really hope he can get his body and mind right when he's back next season.

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 2:57 pm
by SunshineCoastStormer
Tough choices

Does he learn from Tedesco and trade some speed for power
Or
Does he play 6 where he may be slightly better protected
Or
Does he stay as he is and see if luck changes?

I’d love option 3 but it comes with big risk!

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:16 pm
by TC
When did he miss with an ACL?

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:47 pm
by Lucas
TC wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:16 pm When did he miss with an ACL?
When he first came to the club 2017/18.

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Thu Jul 21, 2022 11:09 am
by Lennart Bedrager
yourhero wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:02 am The only way to measure fragility is the output of games, regardless of reason. Averaging 17.25 games per year.
2019 - 22
2020 - 20
2021 - 15
2022 - 12

Rightfully, there are concerns.

Welchy is unfortunately in the same boat. Actually worse. Averaging 15 games per year.
2015 - 10
2016 - 17
2017 - 8
2018 - 26
2019 - 16
2020 - 19
2021 - 21
2022 - 1
So, looking at paps' stat's vs tedesco at a similar age, tedescos average was around 17.5
Tom trobjevic averaged around 14.75, and if you drop 2018 from that and incorporate 2022, it falls down to just over 10.
Ponga, the same age as paps has managed an average of 16.75

So yeah, paps has had a bastard of a run, but when compared to his peers, at the same point of his career, he isn't missing any more game time than they have/did.

Welch is definitely of concern, but I'll reserve judgement. The last five year average is over 16 games a season. And if you remove this seasons unfortunate injury, the previous 4 seasons he managed 20.5 games, which would be on a par with plenty of others.

Just some figures for perspective

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Thu Jul 21, 2022 5:55 pm
by TC
Lucas wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:47 pm
TC wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:16 pm When did he miss with an ACL?
When he first came to the club 2017/18.
So, like 5 or six years ago?

Re: Round 18 Storm v Raiders

Posted: Thu Jul 21, 2022 7:03 pm
by Lucas
TC wrote: Thu Jul 21, 2022 5:55 pm
Lucas wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 9:47 pm
TC wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:16 pm When did he miss with an ACL?
When he first came to the club 2017/18.
So, like 5 or six years ago?
If you do an ACL, it is relevant for the remainder of your career. You are never the same after it, ask anyone who has done one. You can dismiss it if you like.